Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 3.927924e-01 0.520867 0.668356 0.848278 1.059359 1.296777 1.581588
2025-10-26 2.032837e-01 0.347062 0.539783 0.805357 1.150341 1.572456 2.116826
2025-11-02 1.099067e-01 0.248885 0.466685 0.802282 1.276975 1.897052 2.740180
2025-11-09 5.223083e-02 0.169209 0.388551 0.767268 1.347424 2.150142 3.291163
2025-11-16 2.874486e-02 0.133720 0.365129 0.803048 1.515133 2.541501 4.045456
2025-11-23 1.309368e-02 0.098906 0.327535 0.803960 1.625526 2.856277 4.710656
2025-11-30 7.063490e-03 0.084445 0.324949 0.862985 1.829549 3.315580 5.595936
2025-12-07 3.101612e-03 0.068929 0.312514 0.899146 1.996630 3.726674 6.427831
2025-12-14 9.271682e-04 0.053211 0.291028 0.911285 2.121175 4.076789 7.182579
2025-12-21 9.887343e-05 0.037757 0.259951 0.894922 2.191141 4.342536 7.820211
2025-12-28 9.094767e-07 0.028998 0.244769 0.909667 2.316339 4.698839 8.601669
2026-01-04 NaN 0.021264 0.226669 0.912618 2.417697 5.018881 9.336032
2026-01-11 NaN 0.013120 0.196887 0.880035 2.449839 5.231378 9.921832
2026-01-18 NaN 0.007852 0.172985 0.856041 2.495469 5.467501 10.551502
2026-01-25 NaN 0.005185 0.161120 0.863149 2.604567 5.815271 11.365255
2026-02-01 NaN 0.002537 0.138943 0.831432 2.627491 6.013687 11.947361
2026-02-08 NaN 0.001897 0.138831 0.871959 2.809896 6.497854 12.996873
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001010 0.128530 0.874307 2.907112 6.833514 13.814622
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000876 0.134600 0.937576 3.146017 7.430020 15.066446
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000597 0.134151 0.976254 3.330543 7.933130 16.175399
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000292 0.127498 0.989306 3.456174 8.332559 17.122356
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000072 0.114381 0.972080 3.508579 8.598779 17.855206
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000019 0.109447 0.987747 3.640325 9.014647 18.842124